Ecuadorians begin electing president-elect on Sunday, voters are young and socialist guardians of former leader Rafael Correa and veterans of oil-rich countries facing the economic crisis exacerbated by the Covid-19 pandemic I chose one of the conservatives.
In polls, two candidates are fighting head-to-neck in a classic left-to-right battle to rule the country.
Economist Andres Alaus, 36, is virtually unknown, but surpassed his first vote in February with the support of his teacher, Corea, who has led the country for ten years.
Former banker Guillermo Lasso, 65, is a veteran politician and third aspiring president after appearing twice in Corea in 2013 and Lenín Moreno in 2017.
Polls began at 7 am (Greenwich Mean Time 1200), requiring 13.1 million people to vote in a small oil-producing country in South America.
Anyone who wins will take over from the puzzled Moreno on May 24 and will soon face an indignant economic crisis with a 7.8% reduction in GDP in 2020.
Total debt is nearly $ 64 billion (63 percent of GDP), of which $ 45 billion (45 percent of GDP) is external debt.
At the same time, the country has been hit hard by a pandemic with over 340,000 coronavirus infections and overwhelmed hospitals with over 17,000 deaths.
Arauz, a candidate for the Union of Hope Union, outperformed the first round by nearly 33% of the votes cast, about 13 percentage points ahead of Lasso, from the Creating Opportunities movement.
Little known before he ran for the top office, Alaus was a disciple of Corea and he was his running mate, but was convicted of eight years of corruption.
Correa is in exile in Belgium, where her wife was born, and can avoid imprisonment. However, his influence on Ecuadorian politics remains strong.
Esteban Nichols, a political scientist at Simon Bolivar University, told AFP that the election was not left-to-right, but rather “correlation vs. anti-correlationism.”
The two candidates can barely be separated in a poll.
In a previous poll by the market, Sunday’s “technical draw” was predicted, with Araus scoring 50% and Lasso scoring 49%.
The election is “totally uncertain,” market director Brasco Penaherera told AFP.
But Penaherella said the “growth” of former banker Lasso was “much better” than the “growth” of economist Alaus.
Lasso rubbed the spill at less than 0.5 percentage points ahead of indigenous candidate Yak Perez, who disagreed with the results and claimed to be the victim of fraud.
It took a few weeks for Lasso’s second place to be confirmed. Prior to the spill, election officials decided to abandon the usual swift counts to avoid potentially misleading consequences.
Socialist Perez, the second largest block in parliament for the Pachaktic Indigenous Movement, won about 20% of the votes in the first round.
Pachakutik refused to support either candidate in the second round, leaving uncertainty about which direction the supporters would go.
The number of undecided voters after the chaotic first round was about 35%, but has dropped to 8% since then.
But this “has really changed in just a few weeks,” Penaherella said.
Santiago Basabe, a political scientist in the Latin American School of Social Sciences, believes that Alaus has the upper hand.
“Both were able to win, but Alaus seems to have more chances,” Basabe said.
But Pablo Romero, an analyst at the University of Saleciana, said, “To some extent, it doesn’t matter who wins, there’s a feeling that we need to change immediately.”
If Lasso wins, he will face tough work in the largest block in Araus’ leftist coalition and parliament.
“There is a lasting tension with the government. There is little potential for reform that the country needs.”
Ecuador Begins Electing New President In Left-right Battle Source link Ecuador Begins Electing New President In Left-right Battle