The Asian market rose largely on Tuesday, raising expectations that the global economy would return to orbit with the deployment of vaccines, but optimism is squeezed by concerns that recovery will drive inflation and rising interest rates. It was softened.
Observers predict a surge in economic activity from mid-year as the blockade eases, as the government rushes to vaccinate against the coronavirus and declining infection and mortality in most parts of the world. doing.
In addition, there is a spending program that will support the huge growth of US President Joe Biden. This could be passed by Congress next month, in addition to the Federal Reserve’s promise to keep monetary policy as loose as necessary.
The trillions of dollars worth of monumental government and central bank support was a major driver of the global stock surge from the bottom almost a year ago when the coronavirus was widespread throughout the globe.
But while the mood is getting better, investors are focusing on the effects of reflation. Prices go up when people return to stores and restaurants or start taking vacations.
Expectations of a surge in inflation have raised US Treasury 10-year yields to their highest in a year, which surprised investors fearing that interest rates would rise.
Technology companies that have benefited from being forced to stay home have suffered the worst blows, and companies that could succeed as the economy resumes have been coveted to buy. I am enjoying it.
“Investors, along with energy and other inflation beneficiaries, have all their stocks in Covid’s recovery as an expensive technology name (sold) to provide a source of funding for cheaper travel-related markers. We’re quickly rediscovering that it’s not created equally, “says Stephen Innes, Axi Strategist.
The playoffs between recovery and inflation concerns have stopped the global market recovery in recent weeks, after some hit record or record highs for the first time in years.
The Dow rose, but the tech-rich Nasdaq fell more than 2% on Monday, and the S & P 500 was in the red.
And Asian investors have carefully trampled. Hong Kong, Sydney, Singapore, Taipei, Manila, Mumbai, Bangkok and Jakarta all rose, while Shanghai, Seoul and Wellington fell. Tokyo was closed due to a holiday.
AXA Investment Managers Chris Iggo said a key catalyst for raising stock prices could “decline as the market approaches the next phase of recovery.”
“I wouldn’t be surprised if market returns become more volatile in the coming months.”
Traders are eagerly awaiting Fed Boss Jerome Powell’s parliamentary testimony from Tuesday, looking for thoughts on the central bank’s views on rising yields and their impact on policy, especially interest rates.
“The Fed has given the impression of ignoring short-term inflation spikes and has made great efforts to regain expectations for the possibility of short-term rate hikes,” said Michael Hughson of CMC Markets. It was.
“The US dime yield is just below 1.4% … There is concern that US central bankers may be a little over-blaming for inflation risk.”
However, OANDA’s Edward Moya said Powell is likely to reaffirm his commitment to seeing jobs recover and inflation continue to rise.
“The course of interest rates hasn’t changed this year, and some economists see interest rates as rising in January next year,” he said.
“Financial conditions remain tight and wage pressure remains absent, which should prevent inflation concerns from getting out of control.
“Economic data is improving, but remains inconsistent, and that’s all Powell needs to maintain his ultra-tolerant stance.”
Oil prices continued to rise, and as the world emerged from the blockade, optimistically in response to demand, it recorded a nearly 4% rise and then accumulated more than 1% a day.
Hang Seng Index: up 1.2% at 30,670.60
Shanghai-Comprehensive: 3,636.36, down 0.2% (closing price)
Tokyo-Nikkei 225: Closed due to holidays
Pound / Dollar: Fall from $ 1.4064 at 2145 GMT to $ 1.4060
Euro / dollar: rising from $ 1.2161 to $ 1.2167
Euro / Pound: Rise from 86.44 pence to 86.53 pence
Dollar / Yen: Up 105.09 Yen from 105.07 Yen
West Texas Intermediate: $ 62.55 / barrel up 1.4%
Brent North Sea Crude: $ 66.31 / Barrel Up 1.6%
New York-Dow: 0.1% up at 31,521.69 (closing price)
London-FTSE 100: down 0.2% at 6,612.24 (closing price)
-Bloomberg News contributed to this story-
Asian Markets Mostly Up But Optimism Tempered By Inflation Fear Source link Asian Markets Mostly Up But Optimism Tempered By Inflation Fear